Tax Credit Caused Number of Houston Repossessed Homes to Escalate
Friday, May 21st, 2010The April tax credit deadline created both a positive and a negative trend in housing markets in the U.S. In Houston, the rush to beat the deadline resulted in higher number of homes sold and higher prices of dwellings. On the other hand, post-tax credit also saw rising number of Houston repossessed homes and increasing interest rates, which are both negative developments for the residential property market.

Furthermore, the month following the tax credit deadline also produced the concept of shadow inventory, or those repossessed homes in Texas that must be sold but have not even been included in foreclosure listings yet. According to market analysts, these homes that are under shadow inventory can hold back any recovery should they be introduced suddenly in the market in droves.
Majority of real estate analysts have formed the opinion that the impact of homebuyer tax credits on the housing market is a short term negative but will likely become a positive effect before the current year ends. According to some independent housing industry analysts, a mini-collapse is evident in the short term, but the market will also experience a mini-recovery by the end of the year.
The same analysts who believe that a short-term collapse and a long-term recovery are in the works also stated that the biggest problem facing the housing market right now is getting past the imbalance created by the tax credit. According to them, the incentive resulted in a 30% increase in home sales, particularly among repossessed houses for sale. However, this development only delayed the problem of paying mortgage loans for a few months and homebuyers will have to tackle this problem eventually.
The hangover from the tax incentive is, however, worthwhile; at least, according to some market observers. They claim that the credit stabilized the housing market during its worst period and created a steadier range of prices for Houston repossessed homes. The period following the deadline gave the local residential market its first price increase in about three years.
On the other hand, some negative developments are starting to become evident which market analysts are attributing to the introduction of the tax incentive. One of these is the slow but continuous rise of interest rates. Another is that the number of banks repossessions, commercial repo homes and distress properties are also rising and are set to hit the million mark before the end of 2010.
Another negative scenario is that over 25% of borrowers owe more on their mortgages than the worth of their homes. The worst among these negatives though, have nothing to do with repossessed houses for sale or loans borrowed by homeowners; it is the lurking problem of the shadow inventory.
Market analysts believe that there are more than four million homes nationwide, including hundreds of Houston repossessed homes, which have not yet been offered for sale on the market. If these homes are suddenly released on the market, analysts are predicting that the industry would have to forget the recovery that it is hoping for.
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